美国零售数据不佳，推升降息预期，金价短期上涨
11月25日，美国零售销售数据不及预期，通胀压力上升以及美联储官员释放的鸽派信号，共同推动了市场对美联储12月降息的预期，进而提振了金价。当日，COMEX黄金期货价格报收于4126.3美元/盎司，上涨0.78%。在亚洲市场，黄金ETF华夏（代码518850）上涨1.73%，黄金股ETF（代码159562）上涨1.91%。
具体来看，美国9月生产者价格指数（PPI）环比上涨0.3%，核心PPI环比上涨0.1%，增速均较前月有所加快，表明美国通胀在9月再次升温。此外，美国9月零售销售环比增长0.2%，连续四个月实现正增长，但增速明显放缓，且低于市场预期。汽车销售四个月来首次出现下滑，这些疲软的消费数据进一步增强了市场对12月美联储降息的预期，ebpay下载。
中信期货的分析指出，美国消费数据的疲软进一步强化了市场对宽松政策的预期。与此同时，俄乌冲突和中东局势的不确定性持续支撑着避险需求。尽管美元目前处于阶段性高位，对金价上涨空间构成了一定的限制，但整体上金价仍维持偏强走势。
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